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Credit Writedowns

Goodbye to Credit Writedowns

Risks to growth and inflation helping keep long rates down

What’s your model on how real GDP grows durably?

Eurozone winners and losers

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Some brief thoughts on the fragile geopolitical environment

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The eurozone is fully recovered from the sovereign debt crisis

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2018 begins during a synchronized global economic boom

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Jobless claims data positive, no US slowdown evident

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The Fed has been and probably will be more hawkish than you think

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Yellen: The relationship between the slope of the yield curve and the business cycle may have changed

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Minsky’s financial instability hypothesis and the Fed’s reaction function

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As the Fed meets, expect expansion through 2018, but problems thereafter

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We are in the most dangerous period in the business cycle

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