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Credit Writedowns

Goodbye to Credit Writedowns

Risks to growth and inflation helping keep long rates down

What’s your model on how real GDP grows durably?

Policy divergence and the week’s monetary policy decisions

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Watch for a re-emergence of the convergence to zero play

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Ever closer union and euroscepticism

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The dollar liquidity squeeze and Germany’s weak real economy

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Positive thoughts on my return from Germany and London

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The end of global co-operation among liberal democracies

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Our over-reliance on monetary policy is the problem

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The Fed overtightened. Now it’s behind the curve. Recession awaits

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Why my base case for 2020 is recession

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Competitive currency devaluation and the currency war

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