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Credit Writedowns

Goodbye to Credit Writedowns

Risks to growth and inflation helping keep long rates down

What’s your model on how real GDP grows durably?

Natural gas and the strong dollar as headwinds into 2015

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Russia, Oil, China and the Dollar

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Saudi Arabia’s price war and the oil and Russian ruble crisis

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Will India be the big surprise for 2015?

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The Swiss National Bank turns to negative rates

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Economic and market themes: 2014-12-17 Flight to safe assets presents opportunities

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Cognitive bias when thinking about the Ruble crisis

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Tail risk zero bound dynamics are driven by credit risk, not interest rates

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My reading of the FT on China’s “turning away from the dollar”

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Candidates for tail risk in 2015

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